What changed
$RSG — AVOID 📊 | 6 MONTHS THESIS
🎯 Q1 2026 | Rev $4.1B | EPS $1.70 vs $1.64 🟢 | Margin 20.2%
💡 Consensus sees RSG as a steady compounder with 4-5% growth, but the market is ignoring the stock's overstretched positioning and rich valuation. Factor models expect zero return over six months, and the small EPS beat does not justify a re-rating.
📉 Reward/risk: 1.3:1
🏢 Business Quality: 8/10 - Essential waste services with wide moat, recurring revenue, and pricing power; high barriers to entry and stable demand.
📊 Valuation: rich - PE 30.3x, in line with historical median but high for low growth; EV/EBITDA ~15x, FCF yield ~3.5%. Fair to rich vs.
🔮 Catalyst: None imminent; next earnings cycle is beyond the 3-month horizon.
💰 Entry: $208.62, stop $195, target $220
📊 Our read: AVOID. Full analysis →
https://stockduty.xyz/s/RSG0623