What changed
$RSG โ BUY ๐ | 6 MONTHS THESIS
๐ฏ Q1 2026 | Rev $4.1B | EPS $1.70 vs $1.64 ๐ข | Margin 20.2%
๐ก Consensus sees a steady but low-growth waste services story, reflected in a 29.4x PE. The variant view is that the $700M+ year-to-date acquisition spend and operational leverage will drive EPS upgrades for H2 2026, pushing the stock toward the higher end of its historical valuation range (30xโ32x).
๐ Reward/risk: 4.1:1
๐ข Business Quality: 8/10
๐ Valuation: cheap โ PE 29.4x is below 5โyear median 29.9x; FCF yield ~6% supports value; EV/EBITDA likely in line with peers WM/WCN.
๐ฎ Catalyst: Analyst estimate revisions following the Q1 beat
๐ฐ Entry: $204.94, stop $200.0, target $225.0
๐ Our read: BUY. Full analysis โ
https://stockduty.xyz/s/RSG0621