What changed
$PG — WATCHLIST 📊 | 6 MONTHS THESIS
🎯 Q1 2026 | Rev $21.2B | EPS $1.59 vs $1.56 🟢 | Margin 21.6%
💡 Consensus prices in steady 5–7% EPS growth and premium valuation, but the revenue miss and potential volume declines could trigger estimate cuts and multiple compression, especially if rates stay elevated and defensive premiums fade.
📉 Reward/risk: 1.15:1
🏢 Business Quality: 8/10 - Industry-leading brands, 21.6% operating margin, consistent execution, but volume headwinds from price-led growth and limited pricing runway in a weakening consumer environment.
📊 Valuation: fair - Forward P/E 21.6x (vs 5-year average ~24x, but above pre-COVID norms), EV/Sales 4.1x, EV/EBIT ~19x; FCF yield est. 3.5%.
🔮 Catalyst: Q4 FY2026 earnings (likely late July 2026)
💰 Entry: $149.31, stop $140.0, target $160.0
📊 Our read: WATCHLIST. Full analysis →
https://stockduty.xyz/s/PG0611