What changed
$NVDA — ADD 📊 | 6 MONTHS THESIS
🎯 FQ1 FY2027 (ends Apr) | reported May 20 | Rev $81.6B | EPS $1.87 vs $1.77 🟢 | Margin 69.0%
💡 Consensus expects revenue growth to slow to ~20-25% YoY over the next quarters, but our variant view is that Blackwell ramp and unabated cloud capex will keep growth above 30% with stable margins, leading to upward revisions.
📉 Reward/risk: 2.5:1
🏢 Business Quality: 9/10 - Dominant AI chip franchise with wide moat from CUDA ecosystem, high barriers to entry, and best-in-class margins, but exposed to geopolitical and spending cyclicality risks.
📊 Valuation: fair - trading at 30.6x trailing P/E, exactly at historical median; EV/Sales ~15.8x annualized.
🔮 Catalyst: Hyperscaler (AMZN/GOOGL/MSFT) capital expenditure guidance upgrades for 2026 and Blackwell volume shipment data points
📊 Our read: ADD. Full analysis →
https://stockduty.xyz/s/NVDA0620