What changed
$MRP โ BUY ๐
Millrose Properties, Inc. is the premier homesite option platform for residential homebuilders.
๐ฏ Q2 2026 | Rev $0B | EPS $0.74 vs $0.74 โ
๐ก Consensus is anchored to trailing EPS ($0.74) and ignores the magnitude of imminent AFFO growth from deployable debt capacity. The marketโs current 39.7x TTM P/E fails to price the forward run rate, which would put the forward P/E at ~9xโwell below peers' 12-33x range.
๐ Reward/risk: 8.2:1
๐ข Business Quality: 6/10 - Solid asset base and visible growth pipeline, but leverage and execution risk temper quality assessment.
๐ Valuation: cheap โ based on forward AFFO multiple (9.2x) relative to peer REIT P/E band (12.0xโ72.6x) and historical norms; price range $38-$234
๐ฎ Catalyst: Guidance for Q2 2026 exit AFFO run rate of $0.78-$0.80 per share
๐ Our read: BUY. Full analysis โ
https://stockduty.xyz/s/MRP0624