What changed
$MCO — BUY 📊 | 6 MONTHS THESIS
🎯 Q1 2026 | Rev $2.1B | EPS $4.33 vs $4.22 🟢 | Margin 44.4%
💡 Consensus expects modest EPS growth from organic debt issuance, but underestimates the magnitude of buyback-driven accretion and the signal of management confidence, leading to potential multiple expansion.
📉 Reward/risk: 2.0:1
🏢 Business Quality: 9/10 - Wide moat in credit ratings, high and stable margins, essential service in global capital markets.
📊 Valuation: fair — trailing P/E 32.3x is at historical median, in line with peers like S&P Global.
🔮 Catalyst: Continued execution of $2.5B buyback throughout 2026, with quarterly updates showing significant share count reduction.
💰 Entry: $450, stop $430, target $490
📊 Our read: BUY. Full analysis →
https://stockduty.xyz/s/MCO0618