StockDuty Jun 23, 2026 12:26 AM ET
CatalystEarnings

$MCK โ€” AVOID ๐Ÿ“Š | 6 MONTHS THESIS

MCK
$763.51
-0.04%
$MCK โ€” AVOID ๐Ÿ“Š | 6 MONTHS THESIS ๐ŸŽฏ Q1 2026 | Rev $96.3B | EPS $11.69 vs $11.57 ๐ŸŸข ๐Ÿ’ก Consensus views the stock as steady, but the market may be overestimating pricing power and underestimating competitive and regulatory risks. The 1% EPS beat does not change the low-growth trajectory, and the stockโ€™s slight discount to its own historical PE is offset by a premium to more reasonably valued peers. ๐Ÿ“‰ Reward/risk: 0.78:1 ๐Ÿข Business Quality: 7 โ€” Dominant pharmaceutical distributor with essential scale and steady cash flows, but thin margins, opioid litigation overhang, and potential disintermediation limit quality./10 ๐Ÿ“Š Valuation: fair โ€” PE 19.6x (slightly below 5-year median 20.1x but above peers like CAH at ~17x and ABC at ~16x); EV/EBITDA ~13x; FCF yield ~4-5%. ๐Ÿ”ฎ Catalyst: Next quarterly earnings release and guidance update ๐Ÿ“Š Our read: AVOID. Full analysis โ†’ https://stockduty.xyz/s/MCK0623
๐ŸŽฏ Q1 2026 | Rev $96.3B | EPS $11.69 vs $11.57 ๐ŸŸข
Sources
pipeline