What changed
$LSTR โ AVOID ๐
Landstar System, Inc. provides transportation management solutions in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally.
๐ฏ Q2 2026 | Rev $1B | EPS $1.16 vs $1.12 ๐ข
๐ก Consensus expects a gradual freight recovery in H2 2025, with EPS recovering to ~$5.50โ6.00, supporting a 25โ30x P/E. The market-implied expectations are even more optimisticโpricing near-peak earnings (~$7โ8/share) and peak multiple (~30x).
๐ Reward/Risk: 0.0:1
๐ข Business Quality: 8/10 - Landstar has a capital-light model, high returns on capital, strong free cash flow, and consistent buybacks, but it is cyclical and exposed to freight market swings.
๐ Valuation: rich โ P/E on trailing twelve-month EPS (~$5.50) is 38x, on 2025 consensus (~$5.80) is 36x, and on midโcycle normalized EPS ($6.00) is 35x, all far...
๐ฎ Catalyst: Q1 2025 earnings beat
๐ Our read: AVOID. Full analysis โ
https://stockduty.xyz/s/LSTR0623
Why it matters
Landstar System, Inc. provides transportation management solutions in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally.