What changed
$COO โ AVOID ๐ | 6 MONTHS THESIS
๐งญ Conviction: MED
๐ฏ FQ2 FY2026 (ends Apr) | reported Jun 04 | Rev $1.1B | EPS $1.21 vs $1.10 ๐ข | Margin -20.8%
๐ก The market may be reacting to the headline beat, but the true financial pictureโGAAP net loss, unsustainable SG&A spend, zero revenue growthโis far weaker. Consensus estimates likely fail to fully price the risk of derating.
๐ข Business Quality: 3 โ 68% gross margin highlights product strength, but operating margin is -20.8% due to bloated SG&A, and the business isnโt scaling (revenue flat YoY)./10
๐ Valuation: rich โ non-GAAP P/E of 14.7x is misleading given negative GAAP earnings; EV/Sales of 14.4x is extremely expensive for a company with negative margins...
๐ฎ Catalyst: Next quarterly earnings report
โ๏ธ Avoid COO: Headline EPS beat is a lowโquality mask for negative GAAP earnings, a loaded cost structure, and an overpriced valuation with zero growth.