What changed
$CARR — AVOID 📊
Carrier Global Corporation provides intelligent climate and energy solutions in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally.
🎯 Q1 FY26 | Rev $5B | EPS $0.57 vs $0.51 🟢 | Margin 12.1%
💡 Consensus expects FY 2026 EPS of $2.80 on flat-to-LSD organic growth, but trailing results show sharp margin compression and negative free cash flow. Market-implied FCF growth (reverse DCF) is -15.2%, yet the beat may have created unjustified optimism. The stock remains priced for a recovery that is not yet visible.
📉 Reward/Risk: 0.1:1
🏢 Business Quality: 6/10 - Leading HVAC/refrigeration franchise with scale, but currently facing margin headwinds, cyclical exposure, and integration risks from recent divestitures (Riello exit).
📊 Our read: AVOID. Full analysis →
https://stockduty.xyz/s/CARR0612
Also in play: $GTLS $WAB $CAT $PCAR $CMI $NSC
Why it matters
Carrier Global Corporation provides intelligent climate and energy solutions in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally.