What changed
$BLK — Manages investments and provides financial technology solutions.
🎯 Q1 FY26 | Rev $7B | EPS $12.53 vs $11.46 🟢 | Margin 42.0%
💡 Consensus expected EPS of $11.46, but BlackRock delivered $12.53 (9.4% beat). The market may still be pricing in a slowdown in AUM growth or fee compression, but record Q1 inflows of $130B and 27% revenue growth suggest accelerating momentum, not deceleration. The market is underestimating the durability of organic growth and operating leverage.
🏢 Business Quality: 9/10 | Valuation: fair
📉 Reward/Risk: Upside 15% (to $1165, ~22x forward EPS of $53) vs downside 10% (to $910, ~17x forward EPS). Ratio: 1.5:1.
🔮 Catalyst: Continued strong ETF inflows and Q2 2026 earnings (late July). Key metric: quarterly net inflows (target >$100B). Failure signal: inflows drop below $80B or adjusted EPS misses consensus.
💰 Entry: Current price ~$1012 is attractive.
Also in play: $IVZ $BEN $TROW $AMP $APO $MSCI