What changed
$BBY โ AVOID ๐ | 6 MONTHS THESIS
๐ฏ FQ1 FY2027 (ends Apr) | reported May 28 | Rev $8.9B | EPS $1.28 vs $1.22 ๐ข | Margin 4.1%
๐ก Consensus expects flat-to-down EPS for FY2027 as electronics demand normalizes post-pandemic. The +5% Q1 beat was small, and FY guidance wasn't raised. This gap is too narrow to drive material multiple expansionโthe market already sees some resilience.
๐ข Business Quality: 4/10
๐ Valuation: Fair on normalized P/E (15.2x vs. 5-year average 14x) and EV/EBITDA (7.5x vs. peers 8โ10x), but not cheap enough given low growth and thin margins.
๐ฎ Catalyst: Q2 FY2027 earnings likely late August 2026
โ๏ธ Avoid: limited upside, no imminent catalyst, and structural headwinds offset a modest Q1 beat; risk/reward unattractive below $65.